广东省2003-2012年登革热本地病例时空分析

桑少伟, 刘起勇

doi:10.11853/j.issn.1003.4692.2015.05.005

中国媒介生物学及控制杂志 >

2015 , Vol. 26 >Issue 5: 451 - 453

DOI: https://doi.org/10.11853/j.issn.1003.4692.2015.05.005

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广东省2003-2012年登革热本地病例时空分析

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中国疾病预防控制中心传染病预防控制所媒介生物控制室, 传染病预防控制国家重点实验室, 中国疾病预防控制中心传染病监测预警重点实验室, 感染性疾病诊治协同创新中心, 世界卫生组织媒介生物监测与管理合作中心, 北京 102206

桑少伟, 男, 博士, 主要从事登革热溯源及预警研究, Email: sangshaowei1@163.com

收稿日期: 2015-05-14

网络出版日期: 2015-10-20

基金资助

国家重大科学研究计划(2012CB955504); 国家自然科学基金(81273139)

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Spatial and temporal analysis of indigenous dengue cases in Guangdong province during 2003-2012

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State Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, China CDC Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-Warning on Infectious Disease, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, WHO Collaborating Center for Vector Surveillance and Management, Beijing 102206, China

Received date: 2015-05-14

Online published: 2015-10-20

Supported by

Supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(973 Program)(No. 2012CB955504) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 81273139)

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摘要

目的明确广东省登革热本地病例高发区域及高发时间。方法采用时间序列分解方法将2003-2012年广东省登革热本地病例进行分解, 探寻登革热高发时间;采用SaTScan中单纯空间分析方法分析广东省登革热高发区域。结果广东省登革热发生具有明显的季节性, 本地病例高发于9、10月;本地病例发生具有明显地域异质性, 登革热本地病例第一聚集区为广州市越秀区、荔湾区、白云区、海珠区、天河区、番禺区和佛山市禅城区。结论广东省登革热本地病例时空分布特征明显, 登革热防控应提前并将有限卫生资源向高发区域合理倾斜。

关键词： 登革热; 本地病例; 时空分布

本文引用格式

桑少伟, 刘起勇 . 广东省2003-2012年登革热本地病例时空分析[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2015 , 26(5) : 451 -453 . DOI: 10.11853/j.issn.1003.4692.2015.05.005

Abstract

Objective To identify the high risk areas and time of local dengue cases in Guangdong province. Methods Decomposing the local dengue cases to study the high risk time; Conducting purely special analysis to identify high risk areas using SaTScan software. Results The occurrence of local cases had a characteristic of seasonality, mainly occurred in September and October. Local dengue cases showed spatial heterogeneity and the most cluster located at Yuexiu, Liwan, Baiyun, Haizhu, Tianhe, Panyu and Foshan districts. Conclusion The occurrence of local dengue cases showed temporal and spatial heterogeneity. When preventing and controlling dengue occurrence in Guangdong, limited resources should be allocated reasonably and should be focused on these high risk areas and time.

Key words： Dengue; Local cases; Temporal and spatial distribution

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