中国媒介生物学及控制杂志 ›› 2021, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (6): 725-731.DOI: 10.11853/j.issn.1003.8280.2021.06.014

• 媒介生物传染病 • 上一篇    下一篇

气象因素与登革热发病相关关系的Meta分析

唐娜, 董洋洋, 马建, 陈芝君, 戴罗桓, 阳益德, 贺权源, 周军华   

  1. 湖南师范大学医学院分子流行病学湖南省重点实验室, 湖南 长沙 410013
  • 收稿日期:2021-04-02 出版日期:2021-12-20 发布日期:2021-12-15
  • 通讯作者: 周军华,E-mail:zhoujunhua@hunnu.edu.cn
  • 作者简介:唐娜,女,在读硕士,从事环境流行病学研究,E-mail:donna0306@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金(31771445);湖南省自然科学基金(2020JJ5387);湖南省卫生健康委科研课题项目(C2017031)

Relationship between meteorological factors and incidence of dengue fever: a meta-analysis

TANG Na, DONG Yang-yang, MA Jian, CHEN Zhi-jun, DAI Luo-huan, YANG Yi-de, HE Quan-yuan, ZHOU Jun-hua   

  1. Key Laboratory of Molecular Epidemiology of Hunan Province, School of Medicine, Hunan Normal University, Changsha, Hunan 410013, China
  • Received:2021-04-02 Online:2021-12-20 Published:2021-12-15
  • Supported by:
    Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 31771445), Natural Science Foundation Project of Hunan Province of China (No. 2020JJ5387), and the Scientific Research Project of Hunan Health Commission (No. C2017031)

摘要: 目的 评估气象因素与登革热发病的相关关系,为制定当地登革热防控措施提供依据。方法 利用关键词检索PubMed、Web of Science、中国知网全文数据库(CNKI)、万方、维普等数据库,查找2021年3月1日前发表的气象因素与登革热发病相关关系文献,并采用文献编辑软件EndNote X6汇总、剔重,按照事先规定的纳入、排除标准筛选文献,对入选文献进行数据提取及质量评价,随后采用R语言(R 4.0.2)进行Meta分析。结果 共检出1 780篇相关文献,最终纳入11篇,涉及17个地区;滞后的气象因素与登革热发病具有一定的关系,平均最低气温、平均最高气温、平均气温、平均相对湿度和降水量均与登革热发病呈正相关,rs值(95%置信区间)分别为0.34(0.25~0.43)、0.30(0.09~0.50)、0.37(0.30~0.43)、0.24(0.08~0.39)和0.38(0.31~0.44)。结论 气象因素与登革热发病有着一定的相关关系,且滞后的气象因素在登革热的发病中起着重要作用,建议当地相关部门加强气象因子与登革热病例监测。

关键词: 登革热, 气象因素, 相关系数, Meta分析

Abstract: Objective To evaluate the correlation between meteorological factors and the incidence of dengue fever, and to provide evidence for local control of dengue fever. Methods We searched PubMed, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, VIP and Wanfang databases using specific key words for literature on the correlation between meteorological factors and the incidence of dengue fever published before March 1, 2021. We used EndNote X6 software to pool the studies and remove duplicates, screened them according to prespecified inclusion and exclusion criteria, conducted data extraction and quality evaluation for the included studies, and performed the meta-analysis with R 4.0.2 software. Results A total of 1 780 relevant papers were searched out, and 11 of them were finally included, involving 17 regions. Lagged meteorological factors were associated with the incidence of dengue fever. There were positive correlations between the incidence of dengue fever and average minimum temperature, average maximum temperature, average temperature, average relative humidity, and rainfall, with rs(95% confidence interval) being 0.34 (0.25, 0.43), 0.30 (0.09, 0.50), 0.37 (0.30, 0.43), 0.24 (0.08, 0.39), and 0.38 (0.31, 0.44), respectively. Conclusion Meteorological factors are correlated with the incidence of dengue fever, and lagged meteorological factors play an important role in the occurrence of dengue fever. Local authorities should strengthen the surveillance of meteorological factors and dengue fever.

Key words: Dengue fever, Meteorological factor, Correlation coefficient, Meta-analysis

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