中国媒介生物学及控制杂志

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深圳地区致倦库蚊自然种群动态与环境因子的回归分析

张韶华; 袁芝琴; 李良成; 张秀梅   

  1. 广东省深圳市卫生防疫站518020
  • 出版日期:1995-08-20 发布日期:1995-08-20

The Regression Analysis of Natural Population Dynamics of Culex quinquefasciatus in Shenzhen

Zhang Shao-hua;et al   

  1. Healty and Anti-Epidemic Station of Shenzhen
  • Online:1995-08-20 Published:1995-08-20

摘要: 本文采用逐步回归分析的方法,分析了影响致倦库蚊成虫自然种群波动的关键因子。结果表明,按上半年回归分析是:温度>降雨>湿度>日照:按下半年回归分析是:温度>降雨>日照>湿度,整年回归分析是:温度>降雨=湿度>日照。并建立了一系列成虫密度与环境因子的回归模型,为预测预报提供了理论基础。

关键词: 致倦库蚊, 回归分析

Abstract: This paper employed regression analysis to study the key factors affectting the population dynamics of Culex quinque fasciatus adu1ts.The importance of environmental factors were ranked:①Temperature>rainfall>humidity>sunshine in first-half-year: ②Temperature>rainfall>sunshine>humidity in second-half-year;③Temperature>rainfall=humidity>sunshine in 5 years.A series of models between the adult density and environmental factors were built up,which would provide the guidance to the forecast and control of this insect.