Original Reports
GE Jun-qi, LI Xue-yuan, GONG Zheng-da, MA Yong-kang, ZHANG Hong-jiang, HE Fu-rong, ZHANG Zheng
Objective To investigate the barrier effect of rivers on the spread of rodent plague. Methods The data of the rodent plague foci in Dehong autonomous prefecture of Yunnan province, China, from January 1982 to December 2007 were collected. The numbers of townships and plague foci with rodent plague were recorded in each county (city) and in each of the three regions divided by the Daying River and Longchuan River (national borders-Daying River, Daying River- Longchuan River, and Longchuan River-prefecture borders) in each year. The epidemic intensity values of five counties (cities) and three regions were calculated according to the entropy index and adjusted for area size. The difference in adjusted epidemic intensity between the five counties (cities) or the three regions were analyzed using the Kruskal-Wallis H test. Results During 1982-2007, in Yingjiang, Lianghe, Longchuan, Ruili, and Mangshi, rodent plague was epidemic for 16, 11, 19, 11, and 10 years, respectively, and the numbers of plague foci were 159, 96, 93, 76, and 35, respectively. There was no significant difference in the overall distribution of adjusted epidemic intensity between the five counties (H=8.277, P=0.082). In the three regions (national borders-Daying River, Daying River-Longchuan River, and Longchuan River-prefecture borders), plague was epidemic for 16, 25, and 10 years, respectively, and the numbers of plague foci were 103, 321, and 35, respectively. There was a significant difference in the overall distribution of adjusted epidemic intensity between the three regions (H=19.738, P=0.000), and significant differences were also observed between the region from Longchuan River to Daying River and the region from national borders to Daying River or the region from Longchuan River to prefecture borders (χ2=18.423, P=0.003; χ2=26.692, P=0.000). Conclusion Rivers may have a barrier effect on the spread of rodent plague in Dehong prefecture, which may be related to the effects of rivers on the geographical distribution of Yersinia pestis and the community, population and distribution of the host and vector fleas of Y. pestis.