Vector-borne Disease

Spatial-temporal clustering characteristics of dengue fever based on Knox model analysis in the China-Myanmar border area, Jinghong, China, 2019

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  • 1. School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510080, China;
    2. Yunnan Innovative Team of Key Techniques for Vector-borne Disease Control and Prevention, Yunnan Provincial Key Laboratory of Vector-borne Diseases Control and Research, Yunan International Joint Laboratory of Tropical Infectious Diseases, Yunnan Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Pu'er, Yunnan 665000, China;
    3. Ji'nan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510632, China;
    4. Guangdong Provincial Institution of Public Health, Guangzhou, Guangdong 511400, China;
    5. Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510006, China;
    6. Global Health Research Center, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510080, China

Received date: 2023-07-14

  Online published: 2024-03-05

Supported by

Yunnan Province Key Research and Development Plan (No. 202103AQ100001); Major Science and Technology Project of Yunnan Province (No. 2017ZF007); National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. U1602223)

Abstract

Objective To describe the epidemiological characteristics of dengue fever in the China-Myanmar border area, and to explore the spatial-temporal clustering characteristics of dengue fever at different spatial-temporal scales. Methods The data on dengue fever cases were collected in the China-Myanmar border area, Jinghong, China in 2019, and a spatial-temporal clustering analysis of dengue fever was performed using a Knox model. Results In this study, the average time interval and average spatial distance of dengue fever transmission in Jinghong were 23.49 d and 5.54 km, respectively. When the time interval was 1 day, the risk of dengue fever was highest (RR≈2.00) at a spatial distance of 0.40-0.50 km, relatively high (RR>1.60) at >0.50-1.00 km, and moderate (RR≥1.40) at 1.00-2.00 km; and the RR was still >1.00 at a distance of 15.00 km. Among populations of different characteristics (sex, age, and occupation), the spatial-temporal transmission pattern of dengue fever was heterogeneous, and the strength of spatiotemporal clustering was strongest in people with long-time and short-distance contact. For occupations, worker-worker case pairs had the highest strength at a large scale (0-1.00 km), and farmer-farmer case pairs had the highest strength at a small scale (0-0.10 km). Conclusion The risk of dengue fever transmission in Jinghong decreases rapidly with an increasing time interval and spatial distance, and spatial-temporal clustering is markedly heterogeneous at different scales and in populations of different characteristics (sex, age, and occupation).

Cite this article

TANG Ye-rong, ZHOU Hong-ning, MA Wen-jun, XIAO Jian-peng, ZHAO Jian-guo, ZHANG Qian, LI Jing-hua . Spatial-temporal clustering characteristics of dengue fever based on Knox model analysis in the China-Myanmar border area, Jinghong, China, 2019[J]. Chinese Journal of Vector Biology and Control, 2024 , 35(1) : 56 -62 . DOI: 10.11853/j.issn.1003.8280.2024.01.010

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