ISSN 1003-8280 CN 10-1522/R 中国疾病预防控制中心 主办
Chinese Journal of Vector Biology and Control >
Effects of climate change on the distribution of Periplaneta fuliginosa in China
Received date: 2022-12-13
Online published: 2023-08-17
Supported by
National Natural Science Foundation of China(81902095);Natural Science Foundation of Shandeng Province of China(ZR2019MH093);Medical and Health Science and Technology Development Project of Shandong Province(202112050556);Weifang Science and Technology Development Plan project (Medical science)(2021YX038);Weifang Medical University Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Program for College Students(X2022094)
Objective: To analyze the impact of climatic environmental factors on the geographical distribution of Periplaneta fuliginosa in China, and to predict and project the distribution range of P. fuliginosa in China under different climate conditions. Methods: The Global Biodiversity Information Facility and published literature for the geographical distribution information of P. fuliginosa in China were searched. Information on climatic and geographical factors was acquired from public websites. A maximum entropy model was applied to analyze the impact of the factors on the distribution of P. fuliginosa in China, and project the potential geographical distribution area of P. fuliginosa under current and future (2041-2060) conditions. Results: Among the environmental factors affecting the geographical distribution of P. fuliginosa, the precipitation in the driest month contributed most (contribution rate: 37.20%), followed by the precipitation in the wettest month (contribution rate: 15.20%). Under current climate conditions, P. fuliginosa was mainly distributed in Anhui, Hunan, Hubei, Jiangsu, Jiangxi, and Sichuan provinces, with the area of highly suitable habitats reaching 613 100 km2. Under the shared socioeconomic pathway SSP2-4.5 scenario, the suitable habitats of P. fuliginosa in China would decrease by 42 900 km2 in 2041-2060. Conclusions: Precipitation may be a key factor influencing the distribution of P. fuliginosa. The suitable habitats of P. fuliginosa in China may decrease in the future.
Meng-qi XIE, De-jiao CUN, Xiao-yan YAO, Fei WANG, Lan-hua LI, Na TIAN . Effects of climate change on the distribution of Periplaneta fuliginosa in China[J]. Chinese Journal of Vector Biology and Control, 2023 , 34(4) : 542 -547 . DOI: 10.11853/j.issn.1003.8280.2023.04.018
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