Retrospective space-time scan (SaTScan) analysis on epidemic hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Zhejiang province from 2010 to 2014

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  • Zhejiang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou 310051, Zhejiang Province, China

Received date: 2016-12-23

  Online published: 2017-06-20

Supported by

Supported by the National Science and Technology Major Project of China(No. 2012ZX10004219)

Abstract

Objective To retrospectively analyze the hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) epidemics using SaTScan software in Zhejiang province, 2010-2014, providing a scientific evidences for establishing further prevention and control measures. Methods The cases of HFRS and county boundary map were collected from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. The descriptive epidemiological method was used to conduct the three dimensional statistical analysis by SPSS 17.0 software, and the SaTScan 9.1.1 software was used to complete space-time scan. The results of exhibition were visualized using ArcMap 10.2 software. Results The pure spatial scan detected one primary cluster(Lishui), the log likelihood ratio was 85.16 (P<0.01); and 8 secondary clusters (Quzhou) (P<0.01). The pure time scan cluster was in 2014 (November-December). The space-time scan detected one primary cluster (Lishui) and one secondary cluster (Quzhou). Conclusion The epidemic of HFRS of Zhejiang province in 2010-2014 was relatively stable, but in some areas still had risk of outbreak. Prevention measures should be taken to control the epidemic situation.

Cite this article

ZHANG Rong, SUN Ji-min, LING Feng, CAI Jian, GONG Zhen-yu . Retrospective space-time scan (SaTScan) analysis on epidemic hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Zhejiang province from 2010 to 2014[J]. Chinese Journal of Vector Biology and Control, 2017 , 28(3) : 244 -247 . DOI: 10.11853/j.issn.1003.8280.2017.03.012

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