Abstract:

Objective　To predict the potential distribution of the Western Treehole Mosquitoes, Aedes sierrensis (Ludlow, 1905) in China. Methods　Genetic algorithm for rule-set production (GARP) was used for prediction of the potential distribution based  on  current  stable  distribution  of  Ae. sierrensis  derived  from  previous  literatures. Results　The potential  distribution  of Ae. sierrensis covered most provinces in China, with the high-risk area located in the north and central part of China, including Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, Shaanxi, Shanxi, Hebei, Beijing, Tianjin, Henan, Shandong, Liaoning, Jilin and Heilongjiang; the moderate?risk areas including Anhui, south of Hebei, southeast of Shandong, north of Hubei and northwest of Zhejiang; and the low-risk areas including Guizhou, Guangxi, Hunan, Chongqing, Hubei, Jiangxi, Fujian, Hainan and Taiwan. Conclusion　Extensive potential distribution of Ae. sierrensis was identified in China with high risk levels, and thus risk management should be developed and deployed to prevent potential invasion of such mosquitoes.

Key words: Aedes sierrensis (Ludlow, 1905), Genetic algorithm for rule?set production, Potential distribution

摘要：

目的　预测Aedes sierrensis（Ludlow，1905）在我国的潜在分布。方法　根据文献资料整理得出Ae. sierrensis稳定分布，应用预设预测规则的遗传算法（GARP）生态位模型对其在中国的潜在分布进行分析预测。结果　Ae. sierrensis在我国的潜在分布区涉及大部分省（直辖市、自治区），高风险地区集中在我国中北部地区，包括新疆、内蒙古、宁夏、陕西、山西、河北、北京、天津、河南、山东、辽宁、吉林和黑龙江省（直辖市、自治区）；中度适生区集中在安徽、河北南部、山东西南部、湖北北部、浙江西北部等地区；低度适生区集中在贵州、广西、湖南、重庆、湖北、江西、福建、台湾、海南等省（自治区）。结论   Aedes sierrensis（Ludlow，1905）； 预设预测规则的遗传算法； 潜在分布Ae. sierrensis在我国潜在分布区广，风险等级高，应及时制定相应风险管理措施，严防该蚊入侵我国。

关键词: Aedes sierrensis（Ludlow, 1905）, 预设预测规则的遗传算法, 潜在分布